CNN is a top enemy of Donald Trump. They can’t believe this news.
As CNN discovered something shocking about Donald Trump that’s raising eyebrows.
Trump’s Rising Popularity: A Comparison with Kamala Harris
In recent analysis, CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten highlighted a notable shift in public perception regarding Republican nominee Donald Trump, suggesting that he is “more popular now” than he was during the 2016 and 2020 elections. Currently, Trump’s net favorability stands at -9 points, a significant improvement from his ratings in previous election cycles: -27 points in 2016 and -12 points in 2020.
Enten elaborated, stating, “Here’s the deal, if you believe that Donald Trump has somehow become less popular over time, let me change your mind about that. In fact, he is more popular at this point in the campaign than he was at this point in the 2020 campaign or the 2016 campaign.” Despite still being underwater with a negative net favorability, Trump’s current position raises questions, particularly for Vice President Kamala Harris and her campaign.
Harris, who experienced a surge in popularity upon announcing her candidacy on July 21, saw her ratings rise from -15 points on July 17 to -4 points by August 17. However, Enten noted a recent decline, stating, “Look, she was at -15 points back [on] July 17 and -4 point on August 17, then +1 points, she was actually in positive territory a month ago. But she has fallen back down to -1.” This stall in momentum poses a challenge for her campaign, prompting concerns about potential changes needed to regain traction.
While Harris remains more popular than Trump, the historical context is sobering. Enten pointed out, “Joe Biden was more popular than Trump, much more popular and barely won, and Hillary Clinton was much more popular than Donald Trump and lost. Being more popular than Trump isn’t enough; she has to continue seeing her favorabilities rise, but in fact they’re going in the wrong direction.”
As the election approaches, Trump leads in every major swing state, with a narrow 0.8 point advantage against Harris in states like Wisconsin, Georgia, and Michigan, according to RealClearPolling averages. Harris’ positivity rating has dipped from 48% in September to 43% in October, while her negativity rating has increased from 45% to 49%. MSNBC’s Steve Kornacki noted that Harris’ previous 5-point lead against Trump has now turned into a tie of 48% to 48%.
In critical battlegrounds such as Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, Harris’ polling averages show only a slight 1-point lead against Trump, which is significantly lower than President Biden’s 8-point advantage prior to the last election. This slight edge raises concerns about Harris’ ability to secure these pivotal states as the election date draws near.
Kamala Harris Far Behind Clinton and Biden From 2016 and 2020 Races
Back in 2016, Clinton was dominating the polls in her race against Donald Trump. All the “experts” were saying that it was going to be an easy win. Most of the prediction models said Hillary Clinton had a 90%+ chance of winning. The Huffington Post said that a Hillary Clinton administration was 99% sure.
Exactly 8 years ago: pic.twitter.com/5btf4gkcbx
— End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) October 18, 2024
Then in 2020, the polls were once again assuming that Donald Trump would have no real support left. The same “experts” were saying Joe Biden would win the national popular vote by nine or ten points and declared the race over well before Election Day.
Then that race became super close because in key swing states, Donald Trump’s voter turnout was incredible and the polls underestimated him just as they did in 2016.
The concern for Kamala Harris is that she’s nowhere near how well Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden were performing in their races against Donald Trump. She’s clinging to a basically non-existent national polling advantage, which means next to nothing. Donald Trump has the electoral college advantage.
This is why the majority of the election betting markets have shifted heavily into Donald Trump’s favor in recent weeks because Harris has run out of runway to turn the numbers around like she needs to.
Trump's odds are up 2.5% after Kamala Harris' Fox News interview.
He now has a 24% lead. pic.twitter.com/7YFOFzwrfu
— Polymarket (@Polymarket) October 17, 2024
Stay tuned to the DC Daily Journal.
