Democrats have been over the moon about Harris. They think she’s way ahead of Trump.
But this top Harris advisor just admitted Donald Trump is winning the 2024 election in a massive CNN confession.
You would be forgiven if you thought that the 2024 election was pretty much in the bag for Kamala Harris and the Democrats. The mainstream media outlets have been spending almost all their air time trying to give flowery coverage of Kamala Harris for stepping in for Joe Biden, despite never winning a single delegate in any Presidential primary.
It’s not just the coverage, though. The corporate media pollsters are now claiming that Kamala Harris is ahead of Donald Trump in their surveys to the tune of one to five points. Exactly how she went from an abysmal favorability rating to the leading Presidential candidate faster than you could say “Democrat Party coup” is anyone’s guess.
There’s one simple problem with all of this, though. That is the history of the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. What’s noteworthy about those elections is that all of the so-called “experts” were so certain that Donald Trump was going to lose those races in landslide victories for his Democrat opponents. That didn’t go that way at all. Not only that, but he won in 2016 against all the odds and the 2020 election was a coin-flip that could have gone either way.
Meaning, if the polls are showing this race in November between Harris and Trump to be close, then Democrats should be worried based on how the past couple of Presidential elections have panned out when the time comes for Americans to actually vote. In fact, even a top Democrat operative, James Carville, is admitting this is the case.
Carville Warns Democrats Against Overconfidence in Harris’ Chances Amid Tight Race with Trump
Democratic strategist James Carville cautioned Democrats on Monday against overestimating Vice President Kamala Harris’ chances in the 2024 election, noting that former President Donald Trump has a history of outperforming his polling numbers.
Current polling data indicates a tight race. Trump holds a narrow 0.1% lead over Harris in the seven key battleground states, while Harris leads nationally by 1.5%, according to RealClearPolitics averages. Carville, speaking on CNN’s The Lead with Jake Tapper, emphasized that these numbers could be deceiving given Trump’s tendency to exceed expectations at the polls.
“Democrats are feeling better. It’s undeniable,” Carville said. “I see the polls and I remind people of a couple of things, Jake. First of all, most quants, and they’re better at this than I am, say that the vice president would have to win almost by three points in the popular vote to win the Electoral College. And I also would point out that when President Trump runs, he overperforms his polling averages. He did it in 2016. The national polls were actually pretty spot-on, but they didn’t pull weight in the states.”
Carville further highlighted the 2020 election as another example of Trump’s polling strength. “And then they pulled weight in the states in 2020, and you would have thought he was going to win these states by eight points. He didn’t. President Biden did no such thing,” he added. “People need to have some reality infused in their optimism. I’m glad that people are feeling better. I’m glad that people are excited. But anybody that looks at this with any sense of history, any sense of objectivity, sees that there’s plenty possible pitfalls that we’re faced with. And we need to acknowledge that and stop being giddy all the time.”
CNN’s Van Jones expressed similar concerns on Monday, noting his discomfort with the tight race between Trump and Harris, despite the vice president enjoying a wave of positive press coverage. Jones also mentioned that Harris could gain momentum in the polls following the Democratic National Convention (DNC).
“We don’t wanna be tied. I don’t like being tied with Donald Trump because we’ve had now 20-plus days of positive press. He’s been falling down the stairs, slipping on banana peels and poking himself in the eyeball. We should not be tied. We want to pull ahead,” Jones said. “That’s our opportunity this week.”
Meanwhile, a video by Sky News captured the views of Black male voters in Georgia who voiced support for Trump, citing his bold personality, business acumen, and economic performance. “Some people don’t like it, but I think he a smart businessman,” one voter said. “Some want to call him an a-hole but I think he an excellent a-hole.”
As the 2024 election draws nearer, both parties must navigate a highly competitive environment where small shifts could have significant impacts.
Some independent media outlets have suggested that corporate giants are in the pockets of the Democrats and are trying to give as much good press to Kamala Harris as possible to pull within punching distance of Donald Trump.
It’s possible that the corporate political data “experts” are sampling favorably for Kamala Harris and the Democrats to shore up the extremely negative press that they dealt with for the first seven months of the year until Joe Biden was forced out of his spot as the presumptive Democrat nominee for President.
Whether these Orwellian-like media controls are enough will be decided when Americans go to vote in November.
Stay tuned to the DC Daily Journal.
