Donald Trump is pulling a brilliant campaign stunt. It’s one Kamala Harris could never pull off.
As this new Trump victory strategy will leave Kamala Harris in the dust.
One of the problems that Kamala Harris has is that her base is what it is. She’s not a Trump-like figure that can unlock millions of potential voters who were previously uninterested in voting in the Presidential election. That’s what happened in 2016 when Donald Trump won in the first place. Countless Americans who had not voted in 2012 or 2008 decided to get behind Mr. Trump.
Kamala Harris just doesn’t have that capability. She’s relying on shoring up the support that exists for the Obama and Biden admin years. In one sense, you could say she’s riding the coattails and not exactly bringing anything new to the table. Donald Trump, on the other hand, still has growth to do.
While he’s polling better than he did at any point in 2016 and 2020, his campaign has identified new voting blocs that will make it extremely difficult for Kamala Harris to overcome and beat Donald Trump. The answer is in rural communities who usually stay out of politics entirely.
The Amish may play a pivotal role in helping former President Donald Trump win Pennsylvania in the upcoming presidential election. With the GOP actively working to mobilize Amish communities, the potential for increased voter turnout could shift the state’s outcome in Trump’s favor.
Pennsylvania is home to over 87,000 Amish residents, and the majority of those registered to vote are Republicans. Considering that the 2020 election was decided by a margin of approximately 81,000 votes, mobilizing more Amish voters could have a significant impact. If more of them are registered and cast ballots, this group could potentially tip the scale in Trump’s direction.
Pennsylvania Amish just endorsed Trump pic.twitter.com/Lj4GPS0qJv
— Not Meathead (@KimsterPablo) September 23, 2024
Traditionally, the Amish have led secluded lives, avoiding political engagement. However, recent elections have seen a growing interest in voting within these communities. Over the last two presidential cycles, Amish voter turnout has increased notably.
Scott Presler, head of the Early Vote Action PAC, believes that the Amish are more inclined to vote in this election due to an increased openness to voting by mail. He explained the appeal of this method at a recent Turning Point Action event, saying, “When I go to the Amish and I tell them that they can have a private secret ballot that is sent to their homes… they love the idea of mail-in ballots.”
This sentiment could extend beyond Pennsylvania. Presler also noted that Amish voters in Wisconsin, where the community’s numbers similarly match President Biden’s 2020 margin of victory, could have a comparable impact in 2024. “The Amish, if they are mobilized, could literally save Western Civilization,” Presler remarked, pointing out the irony that mail-in ballots — a tool often associated with Democrats — might aid Trump’s campaign.
Another potential driver for Amish voter participation is their concern over Big Government regulations that affect their way of life, particularly farming. Earlier this year, an Amish farmer in Pennsylvania had his farm raided for selling raw milk, a practice illegal in the state.
The incident caught the attention of figures like Donald Trump, Jr. and Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., who both voiced their support for the farmer. Kennedy, a raw milk drinker himself, has advocated for lifting such restrictions and is anticipated to have a role in Trump’s cabinet if he wins the 2024 election.
The record turnout of Amish voters in Pennsylvania in 2020 shows that this community could once again be a deciding factor. With Pennsylvania expected to be won by a slim margin, their increased willingness to vote by mail could shape the outcome of the election.
Pennsylvania Likely Decides Who Wins The 2024 Presidential Election
The path to victory to the White House is very likely to go through Pennsylvania, mainly because it allows the winner of the state to lose a couple other smaller states that are also in the 50-50 toss up territory. It has 19 electoral votes, more than North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, and Michigan individually have.
Kamala Harris has effectively no chance of reaching these rural communities like the Amish to clinch a victory in the state of Pennsylvania. Donald Trump, on the other hand, can easily point to her extremism on issues like abortion and convince the deeply religious rural communities to help him prevent her from ever touching the Oval Office desk.
Donald Trump is already polling well in the state, according to recent surveys. Five pollsters have shown Trump and Harris to be in a tie in that state, but it’s unlikely that Kamala Harris will have the benefit of the polling underestimating her performance on election day.
In 2016 and 2020, the polls way underestimated how well Donald Trump would do in key swing states, with Trump outperforming the polls by anywhere from 2 to 6 points in some cases. Most polling experts agree that some degree of Trump underestimation is on the horizon for this election as well. How much could very well decide how this election settles.
Stay tuned to the DC Daily Journal.
