The Trump campaign was sailing with wind behind him. Kamala Harris has other plans.
And Donald Trump can’t believe what Kamala Harris is stealing from his campaign.
This year, there’s been a ton of reports that Donald Trump is performing way better than any Republican Presidential candidate has in the polls with Hispanic and black voters. In fact, in the Trump vs. Biden polls, Donald Trump was carrying a majority of the Hispanic voting bloc and upwards of 30% of the black vote. That’s a recipe for disaster for Democrats.
As one could expect, though, Kamala Harris is a different candidate who brings different strengths. One of the key benefits for Democrats forcing Joe Biden out and completing the coup to implement Kamala Harris is that she would likely perform better with Hispanic and black voters since she isn’t 80-years-old and a white man. These things matter in Leftist politics.
So how is she doing with those groups that Democrats have been relying on for political relevance for decades? Well, unfortunately for Trump, apparently pretty well.
A recent poll conducted by Equis Research reveals a significant shift among Latino voters in seven key swing states, indicating a substantial move to the left after Vice President Kamala Harris became the presumptive Democratic nominee. The survey, released on Wednesday, shows that registered Latino voters in states like Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin now favor Harris over former President Donald Trump by a margin of 56% to 37%. This marks a notable 14-point swing toward the Democrats compared to previous support levels when President Joe Biden was considered the likely nominee.
Earlier data from an Equis poll conducted between May 16 and June 6 found Biden leading Trump 46% to 41% among the same demographic, highlighting the impact of the shift to Harris. The change in voter sentiment could be a critical factor in determining the outcome of the 2024 election, as Latino voters represent a key demographic in these battleground states.
The Trump campaign, however, remains confident in its appeal to Latino voters. Danielle Alvarez, a senior advisor for the campaign, pointed out that many Hispanic voters associate Harris with policies that have led to inflation, border insecurity, and liberal overreach. She emphasized that Trump’s message resonates with the community due to his track record of economic success, job creation, and border security during his presidency.
Interestingly, an Equis poll from June showed that 41% of Hispanic voters trusted Trump and the Republican Party on immigration issues, compared to 38% who favored Biden and the Democrats. This suggests that the GOP still holds a significant base among Latino voters, despite the current polling trends favoring Harris.
Is Harris really leading Trump among Latino voters? I'm calling our Latino friends and families to please answer my question! Is this an accurate poll? pic.twitter.com/WqJhsCmlqK
— Lynne B (@Lynnebf_2846) August 10, 2024
Trump’s current performance among Latino voters in these swing states exceeds his results from the 2016 and 2020 elections, where he garnered 28% and 32% of the Hispanic vote, respectively, according to CNN exit polls. This continued upward trend suggests that while Harris may have gained ground, Trump still maintains a solid foundation within this voter bloc.
Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, previously noted that Hispanic voters do not have a fully entrenched Democratic identity. Many of these voters, he argues, are swing voters whose loyalties can be influenced by evolving campaign dynamics.
The latest Equis survey was conducted among 1,242 Latino voters across the seven key states between July 22 and August 4, with a margin of error of 3.7%. The findings coincide with polling from The New York Times and Siena College, which revealed Harris leading Trump by 50% to 46% among likely voters in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. However, these results fell within the margin of error, signaling a competitive race.
Nationally, Harris holds a slight one-point lead over Trump in the New York Times’ polling average as of this week. Before President Biden’s withdrawal from the race, Trump was leading Biden by an average of 3.1 points in national polls, according to RealClearPolling.
Hispanic Vote Still Up For Grabs According To Varying Polls
While some polls have suggested Trump has slipped with the Hispanic vote, others say that he’s doing just as well as he ever has with that voting bloc. A Fox poll’s data showed that Trump was carrying 52% of the Hispanic vote in that survey. Not only that, but Trump was carrying 26% of the black vote in that survey.
Hispanic voters feel the impact of economic despair that comes directly from the Biden-Harris admin’s disastrous policies.
The Hispanic vote in 2024 is what will make a difference in this year’s election – these communities want economic prosperity! pic.twitter.com/KGD9YkH23r
— Hispanic Vote Coalition (@HispanicVoteCo) August 6, 2024
The polls since Kamala Harris’s entry into the race have been varying to such a degree that they can’t be trusted. The polls and surveys that can be trusted are the ones that show consistent trends. Rasmussen’s reports showing Trump consistently ahead make sense and can be trusted as they don’t show statistical anomalies.
So as usual, take all these polls with a grain of salt and stick your finger in the air to feel where the wind is blowing. Is the Harris hype just hype? Maybe so, we’ll soon find out.
Stay tuned to the DC Daily Journal.
