The DNC is over and reality has set in. The Harris campaign is in a frenzy of panic.
Because this key 2024 election win from Trump spells doom for Kamala Harris and her allies.
On Friday afternoon, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced that he was going to be suspending his campaign due to him seeing no path forward to win the general election anymore. He promised his supporters at the beginning of his campaign that he would exit the race the moment he saw no real path forward anymore because he did not want to play the role of a “spoiler” candidate who could make another viable candidate lose if he wasn’t in the race.
He also announced his support for Donald Trump’s campaign to beat Kamala Harris, citing the “existential crisis” that Kamala Harris represents. He said that Donald Trump was the candidate who could actually promote world peace and American safety, unlike the modern Democrat Party that has created its own form of neocon foreign policy that seeks out forever wars. He also harshly criticized the Democrat Party’s war on the truth, specifically with the way they rigged their primary system against him and undemocratically anointed Kamala Harris.
The endorsement of Donald Trump is massive because it creates another roadblock for Kamala Harris to overcome this November in key battleground states. The reason his endorsement is game-changing is because RFK Jr. ran one of the most potent third-party campaigns since Ross Perot. Now, the support he carried in battleground states, which varied from 3% to 10%, will be encouraged to get behind Donald Trump.
BREAKING: Robert F Kennedy Jr. officially drops out of the presidential race and endorses Donald Trump.
🔥🔥🔥
“I throw my support behind Donald Trump.”
RFK absolutely ripped the Democratic Party in during his speech.
“Democrats stood against authoritarianism, against… pic.twitter.com/mXbrCRVKzP
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) August 23, 2024
Donald Trump already has an electoral college advantage over Kamala Harris. Just winning a couple states like Pennsylvania and Arizona would make it exceedingly difficult for Kamala Harris and the Democrats to win another term in the White House. Any boost in these battleground states just makes it even harder for Kamala Harris to win.
In Pennsylvania, the polls suggest that Donald Trump is basically tied. There, Robert F. Kennedy’s support was as high as 7%, depending on which pollster you go to. On average, he was polling a solid 5%. Just a fraction of that base throwing their support behind Donald Trump and voting for him over Harris will be absolutely massive for the Trump campaign to win that state in November.
In Arizona, where Robert F. Kennedy Jr. made the announcement that he was suspending his campaign and where he enjoyed the most buzz for his campaign while it was active, he was carrying around 6% of the vote on average. Again, that state is now much harder for Kamala Harris to win simply because RFK Jr. has shut the door on supporting Kamala Harris and has thrown his support behind Trump. He didn’t just shut the door on Kamala either, he said she was an existential crisis for the nation.
A similar story is told in states like Michigan and Wisconsin, two more battleground states that are going to be key to win the White House. In the Glove State, Kennedy carries 5.5% on average right now. In Wisconsin, it’s about the same.
A Republican Presidential candidate last won the state of Nevada in the year of 2004. Democrats have been relying on those six electoral votes to create an easier path to victory for their Presidential candidates. There, Donald Trump is already ahead in the polling averages. Now, RFK’s 6% average polling will be encouraged to support Donald Trump.
RFK Jr. endorsing Trump is a brutal blow to the Democrats. Just look at the numbers🔥💪 pic.twitter.com/xmIobdqtQe
— Libs of TikTok (@libsoftiktok) August 23, 2024
The Impact On The Electoral Outcome That RFK Has Now
Let’s take a look at a few possible outcomes that may pop up as a result of Donald Trump winning that endorsement from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on Friday.
Donald Trump is already winning Nevada, so we’ll swing that in his favor. He’s predicted to win Georgia so let’s do the same there. This would leave Arizona, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin on the map and up for grabs. If just Pennsylvania goes to Trump’s favor, he wins. That would be 276 electoral votes, and he gets that second term in the White House.
If just Michigan and its 15 electoral votes go to Trump, he wins with 272. Neither of those can fall into Donald Trump’s hands if Kamala Harris wants to win the election this November.
This is all assuming that Virginia’s 13 electoral votes aren’t in the ball game for Donald Trump either. This endorsement from RFK Jr. may do just that considering RFK has a massive 8% average polling in that state. The polls also say that the state is basically a tie right now for Donald Trump and Harris.
If Donald Trump were to win Virginia, it’s game over for Kamala Harris and the Democrats. This endorsement from RFK opens up that possibility now for Donald Trump. Previously, it was thought he couldn’t win that state, not with the way the northern Virginia Democrats have been infecting the state and turning it into California. But remember that they did go for a Republican Governor in 2021 in a stunning development.
RFK’s endorsement is going to be downplayed by the Democrats, but the fact remains that just a small shift of his supporters going for Donald Trump is going to be huge this November.
Stay tuned to the DC Daily Journal.