We have only a little over a month until the election. But it might be over before it even starts.
Because Kamala Harris just suffered a massive defeat at the hands of Donald Trump.
Former President Donald Trump is surging in the battleground states of Michigan and Wisconsin, closing in on Kamala Harris’ shrinking lead, according to the latest New York Times/Siena College polling.
The once-comfortable gap is rapidly narrowing as Trump proves his resilience in these key states.
In Michigan, Harris sits at 48%, while Trump is right behind at 47%, essentially putting them neck-and-neck within the poll’s margin of error.
Meanwhile, in Wisconsin, Harris polls at 49%, with Trump hot on her heels at 47%. Notably, Wisconsin polls often overestimate Democratic support, suggesting Trump’s actual position could be even stronger.
The Times acknowledged that Trump’s focus on economic issues, which remains the top concern for voters, is a major factor in his growing momentum.
As Harris struggles to make her case, Trump is chipping away at her slim lead in these crucial northern battlegrounds.
This new data marks a stark contrast from August, when the same poll had Harris leading Trump by four points across Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.
That was shortly after Harris was thrust into the presidential spotlight following Biden’s abrupt July departure. Now, with less than 40 days until the election, the race has tightened, especially in these pivotal states.
Interestingly, Harris holds a nine-point lead in Nebraska’s Second Congressional District — a lone electoral vote that could prove decisive.
If she secures Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nebraska’s Second District, she could reach the 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House.
But with Trump’s rising popularity in the Sun Belt and other key states, it’s far from guaranteed.
In Ohio, while not a battleground in the presidential race, Trump leads Harris by six points, underscoring his enduring appeal in the state.
This contrasts with Ohio’s Senate race, where Democrat Sen. Sherrod Brown is narrowly ahead of GOP challenger Bernie Moreno.
Despite a historical Democratic advantage in Wisconsin polling, the Times notes that the state has been decided by razor-thin margins in four of the last six elections, including the 2020 race.
Trump’s ability to close the gap shows he’s more than capable of pulling off another upset like he did in 2016.
Abortion, the second most important issue for voters in Michigan and Wisconsin, shows Harris leading Trump by 20 points in Michigan and 13 points in Wisconsin.
But even here, Trump has made headway — down from Harris’ 22-point lead on the issue in Wisconsin just a few months ago.
As the race heats up, Trump’s resilience and focus on the key issues voters care about most are keeping him in serious contention, proving once again that he’s far from being counted out.
Stay tuned to the DC Daily Journal.
