Donald Trump is in the fight for his life. He must win or it will all fall apart for him.
That’s why this election news from Trump’s behind-the-curtains ally is raising eyebrows.
There was a man who predicted Donald Trump would win the 2016 election before he even jumped into the race that cycle. He was one of a few pollsters who accurately predicted how the election would go, while the Big Media outlets were all claiming Hillary Clinton would waltz into the Oval Office with a super easy win against Donald Trump.
That man is Matt Towery. You may not have heard of him because he usually isn’t given much of a platform with the major media outlets because he doesn’t assume the current narrative that the establishment talking heads are trying to push. He’s also the man who specifically encouraged Donald Trump to launch a campaign for President a couple years before 2016.
Now he’s got a big announcement about the election that Donald Trump is gong to like. Kamala Harris should be extremely nervous about her odds of winning, according to Mr. Towery. He recently shared on Fox News that the latest polling he’s seeing out of the swing states is particularly ugly for the Democrats right now.
Almost All Swing States’ Polling Looking Good For Donald Trump and Company
A growing trend in support for former President Donald Trump is emerging across key battleground states, potentially complicating the Democrats’ path to victory, according to veteran polling analyst Matt Towery. Speaking on Fox News’ The Ingraham Angle, Towery pointed out that recent polling data, soon to be made public, suggests Trump is gaining momentum in swing states such as Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Nevada.
“I’ve looked at polling that I’ve been privy to, and I’ll probably be public in the next few days. Trump is trending up in almost every single battleground state, almost every one,” Towery revealed. He attributed part of this trend to “shy Trump voters” who may not openly express their support but are becoming more evident in polling data. This shift has led to heightened concern among Democrats, particularly Rep. Elissa Slotkin of Michigan, who, according to Towery, is alarmed by the polling numbers.
Towery, known for his typically cautious stance on Republican prospects, remarked on the surprising nature of these polling results. “I am seeing a true shift in public sentiment, not just in Michigan and in Pennsylvania. I’m seeing it in Nevada, as a matter of fact, there’s been a turnaround there,” he said.
He noted that while most battleground states are seeing this rise in support for Trump, Georgia remains an exception. “The only problem child right now is Georgia… Traditionalist Republicans who go way back, they’re not feeling the groove with Trump right now,” Towery explained, pointing to divisions within the Republican base as a contributing factor.
Towery also highlighted the potential impact of a recent storm that hit the Southeast, specifically Republican-heavy regions, on voter turnout. “That storm affected Republican areas, and I’m just saying, demographically, all the way up, basically majority Republican other than Asheville. So what effect that’s gonna have on turnout? I have no earthly idea,” he said, noting the uncertainty surrounding how this natural disaster could influence voter behavior.
In Nevada, where economic challenges and shifting demographics have played a significant role in shaping voter preferences, the increased support for Trump could pose a challenge for Vice President Kamala Harris. Despite Nevada’s relatively small number of electoral votes, the state’s potential shift could have significant implications for the overall race.
A recent New York Times and Siena College poll further illustrates the competitiveness of the race, with a near tie between Trump and Harris in critical swing states. In Michigan, Harris holds a slim 48% to 47% lead over Trump, while her advantage is slightly wider in Wisconsin, where she leads 49% to 47%. These razor-thin margins suggest that both parties face an uphill battle to secure victories in these key states as the 2024 election draws closer.
The three states that Kamala Harris is likely most nervous about losing are Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. The reason being that Donald Trump only has to win one of those three for his odds of an electoral college victory to skyrocket. Currently, polls indicate all three of those states are in “toss-up” territory, with Pennsylvania being the one that favors Trump the most at this time.
Trump is up by +2 in Pennsylvania according to the new Trafalgar poll!
If I remember correctly, they've been pretty accurate in past elections. pic.twitter.com/EVGqurU3Fz
— Snarky ™ (@ReallySnarky) September 30, 2024
It’s objectively true that Kamala Harris is in a worse position than Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden were in their races against Donald Trump, and by a significant margin. Both of those candidates were leading Donald Trump in the national polling averages by nearly double digits in the weeks leading up to Election Day.
That does not necessarily mean Donald Trump will win, but it does mean that if there’s any underestimating of Donald Trump’s election day performance as pollsters have done in 2016 and 2020, we’re looking at a pretty easy Trump victory. That’s a big if, but possible considering it’s happened twice already.
That should have Kamala Harris and the Democrats sweating bullets.
Stay tuned to the DC Daily Journal.