The media isn’t telling the truth about the Harris campaign. It’s just made a big misstep.
But this MSNBC reporter is in hot water for telling the truth about this huge Harris mistake.
If you had money on Kamala Harris running an extremely far-Left campaign that would be severely polarizing, well you’re definitely cashing in. That wasn’t ever in question, but that’s certainly what’s happening. You would think that she would at least try to make some legitimate claim that she can be a candidate worth voting for if you’re an average American in a swing state, but you’d be wrong on that front.
Kamala Harris picking Minnesota’s Democrat Governor Tim Walz as her running mate just goes to show you how radical she wants this ticket to be. She’s almost arrogantly announcing with this pick that she doesn’t even have to make a play for courting the voters in Michigan or Pennsylvania who are undecided and don’t live in a deep blue city.
Many Republicans are relieved she picked Tim Walz instead of Josh Shapiro because picking Shapiro would have made winning the nineteen electoral votes for Donald Trump in November that much harder. It’s already a fifty-fifty state, and any edge in that region would be huge. Hometown advantage would have almost certainly secured that state for Harris, putting the pressure on Donald Trump to win Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia.
By picking Walz, though, she closed the door on that clearer path to victory. Not only that, but she could be risking further alienating herself from the voters Donald Trump is very actively reaching out to. Those voters are average rural and suburban Americans.
Democratic Vice-Presidential Pick: Walz Faces Skepticism on Electoral Impact
On Tuesday, MSNBC data reporter Steve Kornacki expressed doubt about Democratic Governor Tim Walz of Minnesota’s ability to significantly influence key states as the vice-presidential nominee for the Democratic Party.
Vice President Kamala Harris announced her selection of Walz as her running mate, opting for him over Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro. During his appearance on “Ana Cabrera Reports,” Kornacki compared Walz’s 2022 re-election victory to President Joe Biden’s performance in Minnesota during the 2020 presidential election.
“When you look at what Tim Walz actually pulled off to get elected, to get re-elected in 2022, it’s the Biden model, demographically, regionally,” Kornacki explained to host Ana Cabrera. “You go county by county, there’s not much variance between how Walz did and how Biden did. Walz ran up huge numbers, look at this, this is the biggest county in the state, Hennepin County, Minneapolis here. Walz ran up huge numbers, Biden ran up huge numbers.”
Kornacki highlighted that in greater Minnesota, Walz’s performance mirrored Biden’s. “Now go into greater Minnesota, let’s take a look at, like, Stearns County here. Look, Walz lost this by 23 points. What did Biden lose it by? 23 points. And this is the kind of county, by the way, in Minnesota and across the Midwest here, that Democrats are hoping Walz will help them with,” Kornacki continued. He noted that Barack Obama had once managed to secure a substantial share of the vote in such counties, but subsequent Democratic candidates, including Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden, saw significant declines.
Kornacki’s analysis comes amidst polling data showing a tight race between Harris and former President Donald Trump. The Real Clear Politics average from July 22 to August 4 indicates that Harris leads Trump by a slim margin of 0.2% in a national head-to-head matchup, with her lead extending slightly to 0.4% when Green Party candidate Dr. Jill Stein and independent candidates Cornel West and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. are included.
'You Don't Quite See That': MSNBC Data Guru Delivers Brutal Reality Check To Dems After Walz Pick pic.twitter.com/J020ClHAtw
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) August 6, 2024
“You see that fell off the cliff for Democrats with Clinton, with Biden and there’s Walz, his tally in this county, right between where Biden and Clinton’s was,” Kornacki said. “So, the Walz victory in 2022 looks like what is now a standard Democratic victory in Minnesota: Heavy reliance on the Twin Cities metro area and taking big losses in greater Minnesota.”
Kornacki concluded by casting doubt on Walz’s potential to sway blue-collar areas in crucial swing states. “The Democrats’ hope is that he’s going to appeal to the blue-collar areas in these other three states, maybe he will, but when you look at what he’s done in Minnesota, you don’t quite see that,” he remarked.
A 2016 Repeat In Play For Donald Trump In 2024?
Is it possible that the Democrats are literally making the same mistakes that they made in 2016 when Donald Trump won a surprise election against Hillary Clinton and the entire political establishment? It certainly seems like it. The Democrats are now saying that Donald Trump has “no shot” to beat Hillary Clinton and are seemingly putting all their eggs into the far-Left basket.
The reason why Joe Biden was a viable candidate in 2020 was because he was able to reach out and connect with average male voters who may have voted for Trump in 2016. That was necessary for him to win that election. Kamala Harris and Tim Walz seem like they don’t care about making that same claim of being “moderate” so as to win those swing voters.
In 2016, a major reason why Donald Trump won was because he activated voters the pollsters never even factored into their surveys. In 2020, a similar thing happened again. Multiple swing state pollsters said that Biden would win by a landslide but their surveys underrepresented Trump’s performance by three to ten points.
Kamala Harris could be in for a rude awakening if she thinks no similar outcome to 2016 and 2020 where Trump voters were not polled properly is on the table in 2024.
Stay tuned to the DC Daily Journal.
